Classified Assessment & Conflict Dossier
Pakistan Militancy Bi-Annual Report - January - June 2026
Published: 13 Jul 2026 • CNAWS Strategic Foresight Division
Executive Assessment & Summary
CNAWS assesses that the operational environment in Pakistan experienced sustained, high-intensity conflict throughout the first half of 2026. The reporting period demonstrates a security trajectory characterised by persistent insurgent momentum across multiple geographic theatres. With 1,610 recorded incidents resulting in 2,927 total fatalities between January and June, the data indicates that violence remains deeply entrenched rather than episodic. The conflict increasingly reflected the parallel evolution of two distinct but mutually reinforcing security crises: the Pashtun militant1 ecosystem operating predominantly in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and the Baloch insurgent networks active throughout Balochistan. Together, these two threat environments generated significant operational friction for the Pakistani state, dictating the pace and spatial distribution of violence.
Full Document Dossier (PDF)
Download verified intelligence publication
Download PDF ↓